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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

Southern Methodist

Conference:CUSA
Expected RPI:219.0
Current RPI:219
Expected SOS:235
Current Record:14-17
Expected Record:14-17
Current Conf Record:5-12
Expected Conf Record:5-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-10
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-1
Current OOC Record:9-5
Expected OOC Record:9-5
Expected OOC RPI:207
Expected OOC SOS:335


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
14-1745.16%219.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Southern Methodist.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Loyola Marymount (211.0)WCCH73-58W100%0.0
11-15Texas Christian (238.0)B12A61-64W100%0.0
11-17Texas St. (272.0)WACA75-78W100%0.0
11-21Rider (145.0)MAACH83-70W100%0.0
11-24Arkansas Little Rock (176.0)SBN56-69L0%0.0
11-25Missouri St. (203.0)MVCN62-61W100%0.0
11-28Utah (161.0)P12H62-55W100%0.0
12-1Hofstra (325.0)CAAA47-73W100%0.0
12-15Rhode Island (201.0)A10A72-50L0%0.0
12-18Utah (161.0)P12A62-53L0%0.0
12-21Wagner (126.0)NECN63-53L0%0.0
12-22Alcorn St. (311.0)SWACN67-52W100%0.0
12-30Furman (343.0)SCH72-53W100%0.0
1-2Wyoming (75.0)MWCH56-59L0%0.0
1-6Tulsa (127.0)CUSAH47-48L0%0.0
1-9Houston (197.0)CUSAA78-67L0%0.0
1-12Tulane (175.0)CUSAH59-53W100%0.0
1-16Southern Mississippi (31.0)CUSAH70-74L0%0.0
1-19Texas El Paso (95.0)CUSAA63-54L0%0.0
1-26Central Florida (103.0)CUSAA74-65L0%0.0
1-30Marshall (208.0)CUSAA57-68W100%0.0
2-2Houston (197.0)CUSAH80-84L0%0.0
2-6Memphis (12.0)CUSAH52-60L0%0.0
2-9Rice (324.0)CUSAA39-61W100%0.0
2-16Tulane (175.0)CUSAA78-67L0%0.0
2-23East Carolina (100.0)CUSAH69-72L0%0.0
2-27Rice (324.0)CUSAH67-55W100%0.0
3-2UAB (144.0)CUSAA74-69L0%0.0
3-6Tulsa (127.0)CUSAA65-71W100%0.0
3-9Texas El Paso (95.0)CUSAH63-76L0%0.0
3-13UAB (144.0)CUSAN53-52L0%0.0